Will Jon Tester come within 5 points of winning?
30
Ṁ15kJan 1
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
losing by less than 5 percentage points or winning outright resolves yes, losing by more than 5 points resolves no
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Rasmussen has Sheehy winning 50-43.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Jon Tester win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Montana?
25% chance
Will Jon Tester be reëlected?
25% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?
23% chance
Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits?
63% chance
Montana US Senate Race: Jon Tester vs Tim Sheehy
Will Dan Osborn (Independent) be within 10 points of Deb Fischer (Republican incumbent) in the Nebraska Senate election?
46% chance
Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?
58% chance
What will be the margin in Montana's Senate election?
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?
51% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
33% chance