Gold missing from Fort Knox? (MAINSTREAM MEDIA EDITION)
15
แน€1854
Jul 1
8%
chance

This a market is identical to:

https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/gold-missing-from-fort-knox

Except it will resolve based on reporting from:

NYT
BBC

CNN

AP

Reason

Resolution criteria not related to sources (such as the exact amount of gold that needs to be missing etc.) is the same as in the original market.

Get แน€1,000 play money
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bought แน€50 NO

Seems pretty close to my credence of gold actually missing, although I think there's nontrivial p(gold IS somehow missing but MSM equivocates and doesn't say it), this happens maybe 15% of the time that gold is missing. Thanks for the alternate market!

bought แน€75 NO

Alternative titles:
(RELIABLE SOURCES EDITION)
(FUCK ELON EDITION)

(FAKE NEWS EDITION)

(POST-TRUTH EDITION)