California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025?
17
Ṁ1449Jul 18
2%
chance
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1W
1M
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This market predicts whether California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) provides real-time earthquake data, which will be used to resolve this market. USGS Earthquake Map
Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Geographic Scope Update:
Only earthquakes occurring within the official boundaries of the U.S. state of California will be considered.
Earthquakes in Baja California will not count.
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