If it's clear GPT-5 will never be released for whatever reason, resolves N/A.
Otherwise starting from the first time it appears at all on the leaderboard, resolves YES if it hits the top spot, and NO if it does not.
Does not apply to any future versions that are also called "GPT 5-preview", just the first iteration to appear on the LLMSys leaderboard. If multiple appear at once (like Opus/Sonnet/Haiku), any of them count.
Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For GPT-5 models on the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard, style control being on or off does not matter for resolution purposes - either version will count.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ387 | |
| 2 | Ṁ348 | |
| 3 | Ṁ185 | |
| 4 | Ṁ105 | |
| 5 | Ṁ89 |
@Sketchy they give different results; with style control turned off (which is the precedent for the real-money markets on this thing), Gemini is still in first place
@redcathode I do have like 200 mana on this, so feel free to take my opinion with as much or as little consideration as you want