Will AI image generating models score >= 90% on Winoground by June 1, 2025?
20
แน8402025
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on the recent discussions between Gary Marcus and @ScottAlexander, this market resolves as follows:
IF any AI image generating model (such as DALL-E, Imagen, Stable Diffusion, etc) scores 90% or more on the Winoground image composition test, this market resolves YES.
ELSE this market resolves NO.
Relevant Links:
Scott's post: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/i-won-my-three-year-ai-progress-bet
Gary's post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/did-googleai-just-snooker-one-of
Winoground: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2204.03162v2.pdf
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