Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
Plus
15
αΉ12432029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at any point before the end of 2028 America is considered "not free" according to Freedom House democracy measure. Resolves NO otherwise.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
73% chance
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
23% chance
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2024?
78% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
27% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
75% chance
Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?
21% chance
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
60% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance