Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2025?
17
Ṁ535
2026
8%
chance

Any member currently in the G20 qualifies, including the EU itself but not any EU countries that don't have independent membership.

YES if any member does any of the following:

  • ceases to exist

  • becomes a government in exile, losing actual control over territory

  • is annexed by another nation or entity and loses sovereign status

Irrelevant:

  • minor name changes

  • change in government format or ruling party (Roman Republic -> Roman Empire)

  • partial loss of territory

  • civil war, so long as one faction retains the original identity

Otherwise resolves NO at the end of 2025.

Pair with:

/Stralor/will-any-g20-member-government-coll-dc70670c1f5e

Get Ṁ1,000 play money