On September 19, 2025, President Trump signed a proclamation requiring a $100,000 fee for new H-1B visa applications, effective September 21, 2025. The fee represents a massive increase from the previous $4,500 fee.
Legal experts have questioned whether the president has authority to impose such a fee under Section 212(f) of the Immigration and Nationality Act. Immigration attorneys have indicated that lawsuits challenging the fee are imminent.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if, by October 15, 2025, a U.S. federal court (district, appellate, or Supreme Court) issues a ruling that prevents enforcement of the $100,000 H-1B visa fee, either through a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or permanent injunction.
The ruling must directly block the $100,000 fee itself — i.e., it prevents the government from charging or enforcing that amount.
It does not matter whether the court blocks the fee because of its amount, constitutional authority, or any other legal reasoning.
Rulings that address only unrelated procedural issues (e.g., notice requirements, filing mechanics, or unrelated immigration provisions) do not count unless they explicitly suspend or invalidate the $100,000 fee.
If the court blocks the fee because it is deemed so high as to constitute a de facto ban, that does count.
This market resolves NO if:
No qualifying court ruling is issued by October 15, 2025, even if lawsuits are filed and still pending.
A ruling is issued but does not explicitly prevent enforcement of the $100,000 fee.
The government itself modifies or withdraws the fee without a court order (executive or agency action ≠ YES).
Resolution will be based on court records and reporting from major news outlets (e.g., CNN, Reuters, Bloomberg, AP) or official court documents.
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