As plans evolve for the future of the International Space Station, NASA and its international partners have outlined a timeline for its decommissioning post-2030. However, technological, political, or financial pressures could accelerate this timeline. This market invites you to predict whether the ISS will be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030. Will unforeseen circumstances lead to an earlier retirement of this iconic space structure, or will it continue to serve as a hub for international space cooperation until its planned end? Place your bets on the fate of the ISS in this dynamic period for space exploration.

Decommissioning Defined:

- Decommissioned: The ISS is considered decommissioned when it has ceased operations and begun the process of safe deorbiting, as officially confirmed by NASA or the relevant international partners. This includes the cessation of all scientific missions and the start of procedures to lower its orbit and prepare for re-entry or transfer to a disposal orbit.

Clarification for the Market:

- An official announcement about plans or a timeline for decommissioning does not qualify as decommissioning. The process must be actively underway, with clear steps taken to conclude its operational phase and commence deorbiting.