Will US installed grid battery capacity exceed 31.1 GW by the end of 2024?
Mini
12
Ṁ744
Dec 31
45%
chance

See projection in https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/energy-storage/chart-the-us-grid-battery-fleet-is-about-to-double-again. Also for why this is in Watt not Joules. Will use the same data source for resolution.

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https://carboncredits.com/u-s-battery-storage-hits-a-new-record-growth-in-2024/
With nearly 9.2 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity installed in late November, the year surpassed previous records, per S&P Global data. This highlights the sector’s rapid expansion and future potential.

Power Surge: How Battery Storage Is Transforming the U.S. Grid

Large-scale lithium-ion battery storage installations in the U.S. reached new heights in 2024, surpassing the previous year’s record of 8.4 GW, according to S&P Global data. 

By November 25, developers had added 9.2 GW of new capacity, setting a new benchmark for the industry. The third quarter alone accounted for 3.6 GW of these additions, representing a 52.5% increase compared to the same period in 2023. This remarkable growth pushed the nation’s cumulative battery storage capacity to 26.3 GW.

4.8GW more needed in only a little over a month vs rate of installation being ~3.6GW in last quarter so looking like it would need to be a really huge installation total for Dec and last 5 days of Nov to get there.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1301489/battery-storage-capacity-additions-us/
Could be additions of 14.3GW but this is a forecast for 2024 not actual. Seems dated 20 Dec 2024.

17.3 at end of 2023 + 14.3 additions potentially= 31.6GW but 14.3FW additions forecast might not be met/fully installed by year end and there could be some retired so no longer installed?

Suggests it could be close?