Will there be geopolitical instability over fears of other countries reaching superintelligence? (ACX, AI 2027 #2)
12
Ṁ17202030
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Prediction #2 from:
My Takeaways From AI 2027 - by Scott Alexander
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
67% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
34% chance
AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?
59% chance
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
61% chance
Will AI start a war before 2040
23% chance
Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1)
30% chance
Will humanity wipe out superintelligent AI before 2040?
15% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
69% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
44% chance
Will superintelligent AI take over humanity by 2030?
25% chance