Make a Twilight market!
Make a Twilight market!
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Manifold’s growth is being seriously limited by ignoring the needs of the Twihards. Stephanie Meyer’s works are a pillar of modern millennial culture, and their underrepresentation on this app is limiting the platform’s potential.

All major social media platforms have strong twilight communities on them. Here is a chart to make my wild conjecture seem authoritative:

This correlation causation does not lie. The fate of Manifold depends on vampire YA novels.

I will be covering market creation costs for anyone who makes high quality twilight markets (even if you’re team Jacob)

If you are in need of inspiration, I will refer you to my previous Twilight market:

Will MissCriskle’s Twilight - Sims 2 be completed before the end of 2025?45%‌

#Entertainment and Pop Culture
#Twilight
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
6 Comments


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12mo
+Ṁ100

I hope this counts hahaha

https://manifold.markets/Caterpidgey/will-stephenie-meyer-publish-anothe?r=Q2F0ZXJwaWRnZXk

12mo

How do you define “high-quality?”

12mo

Does it have to be explicitly about the fiction series, or does stuff about the meteorological phenomena or vampires/werewolves in general count?

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.

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