When will the Playstation 6 be released?
9
Ṁ2000
2031
1%
Before 2026
5%
Before 1st July, 2026
10%
Before 2027
33%
Before 1st July, 2027
55%
Before 2028
70%
Before 1st July, 2028
80%
Before 2029
68%
Before 1st July, 2029
72%
Before 2030
82%
Before 2031

This is a cumulative probability market - all the answers that apply will resolve according to whether their conditions were met, individually.

This will not resolve on an announcement, the release date must pass and units must be in consumers' hands to resolve YES.

If date windows pass without a release, they will resolve NO.

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bought Ṁ25 Before 2031 YES

What if it's not called the "Playstation 6"

Like what if it has a name like the "Playstation NEXT" or "PS6"

@BlackCrusade "PS6" would probably be fine. "Playstation NEXT" is also probably fine, assuming it otherwise has all of the characteristics that we would expect from a Playstation 6.

If they break the naming convention then resolution has the potential to get messier, but hopefully this won't be too difficult to resolve. If edge cases crop up I'll talk about it at the time. In general I'd expect anything that goes into a "Tenth generation of video game consoles" page on wikipedia made by Sony to count.