Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
➕
Plus
42
Ṁ12k
Jan 1
4%
chance

This excludes famine or epidemic/ pandemics.

In the past 30 years there have been aprox. 10 natural disaster events that have killed more than 50,000 people, including earthquakes and heat waves.

#Public Health
#Climate
#Climate change
#Natural Disasters
#Environment
#Existential Risk
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@creator I believe this resolves NO

@Ziddletwix @traders does anyone have any reasons this wouldn't resolve NO?

@Ziddletwix yeah o1 also responds NO when asked

Crudely, this should be around 13% because 1 year out of 3 and there's 40% of the year left.

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