Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)
15
Ṁ2546
2026
48%
chance

Important: Since the war aim of the actions against the Houthis are restoring free passage of commercial ships the win condition for the US is here that Suez canal traffic returns to levels of pre-houthi threats.

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bought Ṁ200 YES

Betting that even if the conflict is ongoing, increased trade between the Mediterranean and China causes this to resolve Yes anyway.