Will the State of California prevail in their lawsuit against Exxon Mobil for false advertising about plastic recycling?
Mini
3
Ṁ35
2030
52%
chance

Resolves YES if the State wins the injunction against using the "advanced recycling" language listed in the complaint, is required to do any significant amount of cleanup, and is awarded at least 10% of possible monetary damages. Total damages aren't listed, but it seems like they could easily run into the hundred of millions.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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Not sure how best to operationalize some of the factors here, suggestions welcome.