Will AI Therapist be a mainstream job title by December 31, 2025?
Will AI Therapist be a mainstream job title by December 31, 2025?
➕
Plus
19
Ṁ881
2026
5%
chance

Large language models are very good, and perhaps will benefit from dedicated, long-term engagement with an expert human who can help them adjust their behavior and cognition.

People who perform this job for humans are called (psycho)therapists. This market seeks to predict if such a job will be mainstream by the end of 2025.

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve YES if there is a job* (i.e., permanent job or long-term contractor position (>6 months)) with the title AI Therapist or any variant** listed by a company with >20 employees on Indeed.com, LinkedIn.com, or Monster.com by 11:59 pm ET on December 31, 2025.

*Job = permanent job or long-term contractor position (>=6 months)

**Title = AI Therapist, AI Psychotherapist, AI Counselor, AI Psychologist

This market will resolve NO if no job with an appropriate title is listed by a company with >20 employees on Indeed, LinkedIn, or Monster by 11:59 pm ET on December 31, 2025

Get Ṁ1,000 play money


Sort by:
1y

Isaac Asimov would like to speak with you.

bought Ṁ14 NO1y

Assuming that "prompt engineer" doesn't count, it's not how LLMs work. They lack necessary things like long term memory, I'm not even taking about emotions or sense of self.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.