Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?
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resolved Jan 2
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NO

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@mods resolves no

It seems like things are escalating: https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/20/asia/philippines-footage-south-china-sea-clash-china-intl-hnk/index.html

I suspect the shoal desperately needs resupply of construction equipment

Is one death alone enough to resolve yes?

For example say a Chinese vessel sinks a phillipeans fishing vessel and someone dies.

@Daniel_MC No, it must be the death of military personnel

@YoaaauuIohheee is the creating account your alt?

@JoshuaWilkes what do you mean my "alt"

@Yoae alternative account

@JoshuaWilkes No..but I have changed my display name a few times

@Yoae oh I see

@Yoae (Assuming youโ€™re the creator from this), Coast Guard counts as military here or not?

Either way, it would be helpful to specify in the description. Itโ€™s misleading right now if you mean a military death as that is not reflected in the title or description.

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@Patrick yes coast guard would count

Great. Thanks!

@pdw yes