When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
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Plus
49
Ṁ7713
2033
16%
He will become president during the 2025-2029 term.
23%
He will be elected president in the 2028 election.
9%
He will be elected president in the 2032 election.
51%
He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.)

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - The question refers to the first time JD Vance becomes president. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If JD Vance is elected president but does not take office for any reason, the market will resolve to "He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election)."

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#Trump
#Republican Party
#2028 US Presidential Election
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What happens if he is elected but does not take office for some reason?

@EvanDaniel That'd resolve to "He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election)."

@ZaneMiller Thanks! I figured that was the case, just wanted to verify I knew what edge cases my bot was betting on.

Is the question, "when will Vance first become president?" In principle, he could become president more than once.

@Scipio11 yes.

bought Ṁ200 He will be elected p... NO

@ZaneMiller What happens if he wins in November 2028 and then Trump, say, dies in December 2028 so that Vance becomes president. I assume it resolves to "during the term"?

@Scipio11 yes.

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