Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in 2023 ACX contest?
Mini
27
Ṁ4604resolved Mar 5
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ297 | |
2 | Ṁ84 | |
3 | Ṁ70 | |
4 | Ṁ69 | |
5 | Ṁ42 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?
18% chance
Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Metaculus by the end of 2024?
60% chance
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
77% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?
54% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
39% chance
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
54% chance
Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?
70% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
50% chance
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
45% chance
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?
77% chance