When will the United States get universal healthcare?
When will the United States get universal healthcare?
Mini
11
Ṁ4172100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
In 10 years
23%
In 25 years
6%
In 50 years
6%
In 100 years
40%
Never
For the purpose of this question, "universal healthcare" encompasses a variety of possible implementations, from a fully socialized UK-style National Health Service to a Bernie Sanders-style single payer system to a "public option" that coexists and competes with private healthcare. However, in order to count, the system must be publicly funded, free at the point of use, and available to everyone in the United States regardless of age, income, or disability (therefore existing systems such as Medicare or Medicaid do not count).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?
14% chance
Will the US make healthcare insurance coverage not specific to insurance providers by 2050?
55% chance
By what year will the US implement a UBI?
Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?
20% chance
Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?
29% chance
Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
32% chance
Will the US Congress pass universal pre-K legislation by 2032?
25% chance
Will any country implement a universal basic income by 2026?
27% chance
Will there be a country with Universal Basic Income by 2030?
43% chance
Will any state in the USA implement a universal basic income of at least $10,000 before 2030?
8% chance