Will Meta join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
➕
Plus
31
Ṁ7982
resolved Aug 14
Resolved
NO

Resolves to YES if Meta enters into the same commitment, and shares their next major model release with the USA AISI in advance, or if Meta announces it will no longer be in the frontier model business.

Resolves to NO if Meta releases Llama 4, any model bigger than 500B or another major release without sharing with the USA AISI, or deadline passes and no commitment has been made.

(Note: Open/closed status of the model is irrelevant to this market.)

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bought Ṁ200 NO

@ZviMowshowitz This resolves NO, right? Lllama 4 was released

bought Ṁ5,000 NO from 18% to 1.9%

Is there a reason people think Meta won't relative to others?

more anti-regulation / anti-government I guess?