Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-2 this decade?

Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?

Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will a model as great as GPT-5 be available to the public in 2025?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?