Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?

Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will a model as great as GPT-5 be available to the public in 2025?

By January 2026, will we have a language model with similar performance to GPT-3.5 (i.e. ChatGPT as of Feb-23) that is small enough to run locally on the highest end iPhone available at the time?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?