Will India and China go to war before 2026?
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What are the exact resolution criteria?

let's say same as this but for 2026 instead of 2040: https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/by-2040-will-there-be-a-wikipedia-p

I assume that if the Wikipedia page is vandalism (e.g. a complete fake created by someone to tamper with this market) it doesn't count?