Will an AI ballot measure in any state be endorsed in a Scott Alexander post by the 2026 elections?
Plus
6
แน4602027
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there is a statewide ballot measure about AI that is endorsed by Scott Alexander in a blog post. Resolves the day before the 2026 midterm elections.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
49% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
17% chance
Will California sign into law any more AI bills before July 2025?
44% chance
Will Scott Alexander judge a specific candidate movie to resolve his 2028 AI movie market?
65% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 1.000 or more votes?
28% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?
28% chance
Will AI be able to vote, in any U.S. jurisdiction, by 2035?
6% chance
Will California pass an AI Safety bill in 2025?
51% chance
Will Australia release significant AI-related legislation/regulation by the end of 2025?
43% chance