Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?

Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?

Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?