Will the total number of confirmed tornadoes in the United States during 2026 exceed 1,400?
Context: The U.S. averages approximately 1,200-1,333 tornadoes annually. In 2024, there were 1,855 tornadoes (second-highest on record), and 2025 is tracking at 1,283 tornadoes as of October. This market resolves based on the final official tornado count from NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center.
Resolution: This market resolves YES if the final 2026 tornado count published by NOAA/SPC exceeds 1,400. Resolves NO if the count is 1,400 or below.
Source: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ and https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/tornadoes/
Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed the threshold is 1,400 tornadoes. The market resolves YES if the final 2026 tornado count exceeds 1,400, and NO if it is 1,400 or below.