Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
98
แน71902045
Donald Trump55%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Joe Biden and Donald Trump are the two oldest candidates to ever run for the US presidency. They have both passed the median life expectancy in the US (77.26 years). Both have publicly displayed signs of cognitive decline and both have already experienced declining health from the demands of the presidency.
This market resolves based on the person's age when they expire.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
To clarify, suppose Biden died tomorrow, and Trump died the following day. Then this market would resolve to Biden because he had a longer lifespan, right?
@Conflux Yes, if Biden died tomorrow the market wouldn't resolve in Trump's favor for another 1302 days.
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Will a living US President (past or current) pass away before the end of 2024?
67% chance
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Which of the following candidates will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
Will a 2024 presidential candidate die prior to the election?
13% chance