Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine? | Manifold

Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

Mini

9

Ṁ193

2026

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

He recently joined an Azov artillery unit.

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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did he

@jacksonpolack not so far

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ukrainian-artillery-friend-di

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ancap-friend-goes-to-fight-in

Odds of a soldier dying are less than 1 in 3, I think. Absent further information I’m going to bet “no” and hope to win :)

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