Will a Bitcoin spot ETF be approved by the SEC during 2023?
Will a Bitcoin spot ETF be approved by the SEC during 2023?
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NO

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1y

YES I AGREE WITH THIS. The SEC is expected to decide on twelve ETFs by November 17, opening an eight-day window for the decision, according to leading analysts. Bloomberg's James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas, experts on the upcoming spot bitcoin ETF approvals, said decisions were imminent. Even if they do not come before Thanksgiving, the experts say they are right around the corner in 2024: “We still believe there's a 90% chance of approval by Jan. 10,”.

predicted YES 1y

Is this “any type of” ETF including “spot”?

predicted YES 1y

More arbitrage here:

predicted YES 1y

Arbitrage here:

https://manifold.markets/billkula/will-a-bitcoin-etf-be-approved-by-t?r=QWN0aXZlRHJ5

1y

Is this specifically about a spot ETF? Or is it broader? In particular, how does it differ from Will the SEC approve any Bitcoin spot ETF in 2023?NO‌ ?

predicted YES 1y

Franklin Templeton files with SEC for spot bitcoin ETF

https://www.theblock.co/post/250478/franklin-templeton-files-with-sec-for-spot-bitcoin-etf

Franklin Templeton files with SEC for spot bitcoin ETF
Dubbed the Franklin Bitcoin ETF, the fund's assets would consist primarily of bitcoin held in custody by Coinbase Custody Trust Company.

https://x.com/ericbalchunas/status/1696887691122548798?s=46&t=U69hdAlpTQ_SsnWxQ_3XTQ

1y

This should close 12/31/23 not 9/3/23

predicted NO 1y

@GeoffWolfe Thanks - done

1y

https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/08/29/sec-must-review-grayscales-etf-bid-appeals-court-rules/

SEC Must Review Grayscale's Bitcoin ETF Bid After Previous Rejection, Appeals Court Rules
A federal appeals court ordered the SEC to "vacate" its rejection of the trust issuer's bid to convert the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an exchange-traded fund.

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