What will happen with Late Night Shows in October 2025
4
Ṁ245
Oct 28
24%
Kimmel Live will average over 2 million total viewers
50%
Kimmel Live will stay ahead of Colbert and Fallon for the month
59%
Kimmel average total drops below 1.6 million viewers for the month
Resolved
NO
Sinclair stations keep Kimmel show off for the whole month
Resolved
NO
Nexstar stations keep Kimmel show off for the whole month

Before the controversy Kimmel and Fallon both were in the 1.1 million to 1.5 mllion range. Colbert was ahead at about 2-2.5 million. Gutfeld led all with 3-3.5 million.

Wednesday, September 24, 2025 (Live + Same Day Nielsen Ratings)

Total Viewers

Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)

2,414,000

The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS)

1,988,000

The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC)

1,244,000

Gutfeld! (Fox News)

3,233,000

  • Update 2025-09-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - This market will be resolved using TV ratings numbers.

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On Thursday, October 2, Jimmy Kimmel Live! averaged 1.9 million total viewers

Sinclair stations keep Kimmel show off for the whole month
bought Ṁ50 Sinclair stations ke... NO

@brianwang https://www.foxnews.com/media/sinclair-ends-jimmy-kimmel-ban-after-sidelining-host-amid-charlie-kirk-controversy

looks like once friday's episode airs the two affiliate markets can resolve NO (they require him to be preempted for a whole month, and looks like they lasted <1w)

@Ziddletwix I will resolve early in October for the Sinclair and Nexstar. The questions were about October. It is highly unlikely to change back again but weird things can happen.

@brianwang fair—I misread the question but makes sense for these all to apply to just the month of October!

I am not trading these questions. The questions are resolved with the TV ratings numbers.