Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
➕
Plus
510
Ṁ310k
Nov 6
77%
Zohran Mamdani
14%
Eric Adams
6%
Andrew Cuomo
1%
Curtis Sliwa
1%
Other

New York City will hold mayoral elections on 4 November 2025. Eric Adams won the 2021 mayoral election, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face a contested primary.

This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

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bought Ṁ50 Other YES

Cuomo won't run. Establishment dems will support Adams, who will get all the votes from the right and from center left.

@BBQDAD I'm not so sure. It's looking like the establishment dems have kind of given up, and are lining up behind Mamdani. I don't think a 2021 Buffalo mayoral election scenario is really feasible here - Adams is extremely unpopular, Mamdani is really good at messaging, Silwa is going to be splitting the "i hate commies" vote, and if they add anyone else it'll just split the vote even harder.

bought Ṁ10 Zohran Mamdani NO

This is the first I have ever heard of this Zohran Mamdani, is he truly a communist (based) or is Trump merely exaggerating and he's just a slightly socially progressive neoliberal (nothingburger)?

@TheAllMemeingEye The democrats crossed a line by electing somebody? Christ

@TheAllMemeingEye he's a member of the DSA

Jim Walden?

bought Ṁ50 Zohran Mamdani YES

@CraigTalbert walden campaign, i have a slogan proposal:

opened a Ṁ9,000 Eric Adams NO at 16% order

@Marnix Ackman denied this report. Apparently he is looking into legal issues regarding someone else entering the race. https://x.com/billackman/status/1937975305643114806?s=46&t=EH8RY6pqThhG7HnB5qPjIA

hillary clinton for mayor 2025

sold Ṁ4 Jessica Ramos YES

@ChadCotty i was gonna say, it'd be really weird if his "big plan" that he "has to look into" was just a guy who was already running

There really are a lot of hilarious options for famous New Yorkers he could pick. Hillary, Bloomberg, Jay-Z, etc. Besides, all Ackman really needs is someone who can divide Zohran's supporters enough for another candidate to win.

Surprised that one of the biggest dogs in NY politics was just handed an underdog narrative, yet is only trading at 1%. The man has barely even campaigned yet. Seems to me like as big of a prediction market miss as early days of Zohran’s campaign, which was already proving to be excellent, yet Zohran was being awarded a measly 2 or so percent.

Eric Adams consorted with Trump. How on Earth is that a better pick for the establishment than Cuomo?

NY politics is unpredictable. A.O.C. won out of nowhere like Mamdani did. But the flip side is that in the last mayoral race, after the social media candidate (Andrew Yang) boasted early favorite status, the establishment came in strong for a (pre-corrupt) Eric Adams. Similar dynamics can easily repeat.

Why the fuck is Eric Adams at 20%

bought Ṁ750 Eric Adams NO

@YuvalJacoby very strange

Eric Adams

This race will come down to whoever the Democratic Party establishmentdecides to go in on. I think it seems pretty clear that they've already told Adams they're not going to go in on him since he didn't even try to get into the primaries lmao

Yang Gang

bought Ṁ1,000 Zohran Mamdani YES

Can Cuomo run as an independent?

@LyetKynes Yes, and he has already filed the paperwork to do so

@SaviorofPlant LMAO what a shame

@SaviorofPlant at this rate he may run as a Republican

opened a Ṁ500 Zohran Mamdani YES at 72% order

@LyetKyneslevel devil

Cuomo may run as an independent candidate.