Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2028?
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Narva is a city in Estonia close to the Russian border whose inhabitants are mostly ethnic Russians (87%) who almost all speak Russian (96%) and many of whom even have Russian citizenship (36%).
Some experts believe Russia might militarily seize Narva in a Crimea-style operation to stress test NATO.
Will Russia militarily seize Narva before the end of 2028?
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@Irigi Trump moving nuclear submarines caused a lot of volatility yesterday in 2030 market.
@Henry38hw To me, moving the submarines is much more likely explained by Trump short term opinion change + protecting his ego than by real commitment to nuclearly deterr Russia.
But if his stance lasts 6+ months, I will shift my beliefs on this question.
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