
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
Plus
23
αΉ13842030
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The monthly US unemployment rate has been 10% or more on three occasions since recording began: 2020 (14.7%), 2009 (10.0%), and 1982 (10.8%).
See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:
Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 10% or more in any month before the end of this decade?
See also:
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Dario Amodei, when speaking with Axios, says AI may cause 10-20% unemployment spike in the next one to five years.

Related questions
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
14% chance
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
15% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
25% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
12% chance
US unemployment above 5% in 2025?
5% chance
Will world unemployment reach 20% at any time before 2030?
23% chance
Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?
1% chance
If the US unemployment reaches 20% will it reach 80% within 2 years? (AI take-off)
11% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
4% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
9% chance