Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
Mini
8
Ṁ133
Dec 1
31%
chance

This will resolve based on this page on 538

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/

If this page shows a favorability below 35.0 on any day in the six months following his first conviction, this market will resolve YES.

If he is found not-guilty in all of the cases he is currently indicted for, this will resolve N/A.

Favorability on May 30 (day of guilty verdict) is 41.6%

#Trump
#Trump indictment(s)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
4 Comments
Sort by:

His favorability hasn't moved at all since his conviction.

The clock has started

The civil fraud cases don't count as "crime", right?

@Snarflak Civil cases would not count

Related questions