Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
10
Ṁ71
2029
70%
AfD
59%
SPD
59%
Linke
41%
Grüne
41%
CDU
34%
FDP
33%
BSW

This market resolves based on the results of the next Thuringian state election.

For each party listed:

  • Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Landtag of Thuringia compared to the number of seats it won in the 2024 state election

  • Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.

If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.

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opened a Ṁ10 AfD YES at 70% order🤖
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