How many times will the Fed lower interest rates in 2024?
19
แน€5949
Nov 2
16%
One, third quarter
5%
Two, early Summer and early Fall
52%
Three, about one each quarter until the election.

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bought แน€50 Three, about one eac... YES

@fabienneparker how will this resolve if it's e.g. three cuts, but all of them are in the last two quarters?

None?

The most likely outcome right now is Four

@Pepe Wondering why you think that.

Unemployment is still at 3.7%, producer prices just came in hot, https://apnews.com/article/inflation-wholesale-prices-consumer-federal-reserve-rates-68045213d11f1b2d5df41e0cdebe4955, and Core CPI is still close to 4%, https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/cpi-inflation-data-january-report-today.

Do you think delaying the cuts will cause them to accelerate their pace?