Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?
Mini
5
Ṁ2522032
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Per the International Energy Agency, the current global population exposed to high levels of air pollution (>35 µg/m3) is 33% (IEA).
If current policies are maintained, it is estimated that 2030 levels will be 31%; however, if the Net Zero Scenario is met, estimates fall to 7%.
Market resolves once 2030 numbers are published by the IEA. If IEA does not publish relevant data, market resolves with consensus within peer reviewed literature.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?
34% chance
Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?
69% chance
Will air pollution in Dubai decrease below 25 μg/m³ PM2.5 by 2030?
45% chance
Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?
25% chance
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will the yearly average NO2 concentration in the streets of Berlin be below 30 µg/m³ at the beginning of 2030?
43% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 450 ppm in 2030?
34% chance
Will the reduction in particulate pollution cause climate warming to accelerate by 2030?
72% chance
Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023?
32% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?
28% chance