This market resolves to YES if the Dutch government officially recognizes the State of Palestine before December 31, 2025.
Context: The Netherlands has not yet recognized Palestine as a state, despite growing international momentum. In August 2025, Dutch MPs voted against a motion to recognize Palestine, but the political landscape is shifting. The Netherlands will hold elections on October 29, 2025, which could change the government's stance. Several European countries including France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and Monaco have recently recognized Palestine at the UN General Assembly in September 2025.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to YES if the Dutch government makes an official announcement recognizing Palestine as a sovereign state before December 31, 2025. It will resolve to NO if no such recognition is made by that date. The recognition must be formal and official, not just a statement of intent.
Sources: https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/08/mps-vote-not-to-take-steps-against-israel-or-recognise-palestine/ https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/09/netherlands-plans-to-recognise-a-palestinian-state-but-not-yet/
