MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
โž•
Plus
48
แน€14k
2026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.

#๏ธ Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๏ธ Technology
#World
#United States
Get แน€1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

What happens if BEA gets shut down or stops publishing these reports?

Related questions

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
14% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
5% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
18% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
16% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
2% chance
US Recession in 2025?
15% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
14% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
26% chance

Related questions

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
14% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
2% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
5% chance
US Recession in 2025?
15% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
18% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
14% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
26% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout