MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
➕
Plus
50
Ṁ16k
Mar 27
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#️ Technology
#World
#United States
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

What happens if BEA gets shut down or stops publishing these reports?

Related questions

Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
1% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
1% chance
US Recession in 2025?
2% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
4% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?
2% chance
Conditional on there being a US recession in 2024, will Q3 2024 have negative gdp growth?
18% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
10% chance

Related questions

Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
1% chance
Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?
2% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
1% chance
Conditional on there being a US recession in 2024, will Q3 2024 have negative gdp growth?
18% chance
US Recession in 2025?
2% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
4% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
10% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout