MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Sergey Surovikin die in a plane crash? by 2026
βž•
Plus
12
αΉ€310
2026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

#πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia war
#πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia
#World
#plane crash
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

I added an extra zero but I think assassination by plane is now more likely, especially since Surovikin has disappeared.

Related questions

Will Putin die in a plane crash?
5% chance
Will Dmitry Muratov be dead before 26 May 2026?
11% chance
By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?
13% chance
Will Putin die before 2030?
36% chance
How will Vladimir Putin die?
Will there be a plane crash with β‰₯100 victims in Russia in 2025?
11% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die in 2025?
3% chance
Will Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia, die (through causes natural or not) before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will we find that Putin was secretly already dead (before 2020) by 2030?
2% chance
Will Lukashenko die in a plane crash?
13% chance

Related questions

Will Putin die in a plane crash?
5% chance
Will there be a plane crash with β‰₯100 victims in Russia in 2025?
11% chance
Will Dmitry Muratov be dead before 26 May 2026?
11% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die in 2025?
3% chance
By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?
13% chance
Will Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia, die (through causes natural or not) before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Putin die before 2030?
36% chance
Will we find that Putin was secretly already dead (before 2020) by 2030?
2% chance
How will Vladimir Putin die?
Will Lukashenko die in a plane crash?
13% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout