Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2025?
50
แน€16k
2025
91%
chance

Resolves positively if the @realdonaldtrump account tweets with Trump's implied approval, even if the tweet was written by an intern. Does not resolve positively if the account is hacked or tweets apparently without Trump's approval. Using X to tweet also counts.

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predicts YES

@Joshua devious phrasing.

predicts YES

@ParthKolekar Sorry if it was confusing.

This market seems especially interesting with When will Trump be imprisoned? currently at 50% for 2025.