(M20000 subsidy) covid restrictions to return?
➕
Plus
94
Ṁ190k
Jan 1
3%
chance

Will only resolve true if the governor of one or more of New York, California or Illinois issues an order closing nonessential in-person businesses while citing a coronavirus-driven public health emergency. Event must happen between now and the end of 2024 to resolve true.

#COVID
#Health
#Public Health
#US Public Health
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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Does this resolve yes even if the order never goes into effect? E.g. blocked by courts, retracted due to public backlash, etc.

predicts NO

@VitorBosshard i would like this market to include more intermediate tail risks than just circumstances around an uncontested order so i think yes but am open to arguments i suppose

bought Ṁ100 NO

@awse awh jeez i hope not

bro was surprisingly not lying about the subsidy

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