Will a republican win the 2024 election if GOP nominates...
22
แน€941
Nov 8
45%
Donald Trump
Resolved
N/A
Nikki Haley
Resolved
N/A
Vivek Ramaswamy
Resolved
N/A
Ron DeSantis

All but the nominee resolve NA.

The nominee resolves YES if he/she wins the overall election and NO if someone else wins.

First nomination counts. If Trump gets nominated everybody else is NA. If Trump later withdraws, he resolves NO. Followup does not matter.

Arbitrate with /ahalekelly/if-donald-trump-is-the-2024-nominee

There is also /marketwise/will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-electi-d213115a0434

Close date might be extended if election results take longer.

#๏ธ Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election
#Trump
#Republican Party
#2024 Primaries
#2024 Republican Primaries
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6 Comments
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@marktwse Most of these can resolve N/A now. I don't think non-mods are able to do so, so let me know if you want me to resolve these for you.

@NcyRocks Yes, please do. I have no N/A option available.

Done

source

So many numbers...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/07/us/elections/times-siena-battlegrounds-registered-voters.html

https://electionbettingodds.com/ElectabilityGOP.html

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