Will Generation Beta (whatever they’re called) prefer Apple devices? 👶📱🗓️
Mini
7
Ṁ146
2049
53%
chance

If you’re not aware of the generational breakdowns, they’re as follows:

  • The Silent Generation [1928-1945] 79-96 years old

  • Baby Boomers [1946-1964] 60-78 years old

  • Gen X [1965-1980] 44-59 years old

  • Millennials [1981-1996] 28-43 years old

  • Gen Z [1997-2012] 12-27 years old

  • Gen Alpha [Early 2010s-2025] 0-14 years old

  • Gen Beta [late 2024-2039] Not yet born

The data clearly show that Gen Z prefer to use Apple devices.

79% OF GEN Z US CONSUMERS PREFER IPHONES TO RIVALS, FINDS BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE

Will American members of Generation Beta, whose oldest members haven’t been born yet, prefer to use Apple devices (whether phone, watch, spatial computer, brain chip…etc.)? This will be assessed once the oldest members of Gen Beta have turned 25.

For “prefer”, I’m expecting a strict preference here, with a plurality/majority of youth's using Apple products, to the point that articles are written about this usage (it’s not hard to find “Gen Z prefers iOS” articles today, I’m expecting a comparable level of ubiquity in the future).

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Does this question only concerns the United States? I'm pretty sure that if you poll Gen Zs of all around the globe, you will not see such a massive preference. Apple is huge in USA, but not so much in Europe, Asia, Africa...

@Epholys yes, I’ve just added that to the description.

bought Ṁ40 YES

can we specify what device would be used for resolution, and if all device are considered, the weighting between them?

For example if we have a future where Meta's VR device dominates the market, Apple's smart phone dominates the market, and Google's Brain chip dominates the market, how would this market resolve?

@AmmonLam really good question. as we’re predicting a few decades into the future, i want to consider a few possibilities.

today, regardless of what devices one owns, nearly everyone’s primary device is a mobile phone. there are more mobile phones on the planet than people. if 2049 looks similar, and we all/mostly have the same type of device, Gen B needs to prefer using the Apple version of that tech.

if we’ve got a few different classes of device that people use, one of those major devices should have an Apple preference. So if ½ of us are using spatial computers, and ½ of us are on brain chips, Apple just needs to dominate one of those two spaces among children.