Will the Dodgers have the best record in the MLB in 2025? βšΎοΈπŸ§’πŸ†
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25
αΉ€33k
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
NO

The Los Angeles Dodgers are annually one of the best teams in the regular season (we don’t need to talk about the postseason here).

Will the Dodgers have the best regular season record in baseball in 2025 (tie resolves YES)?

Past years’ data:

  • 2024: Dodgers [ongoing]

  • 2023: Braves [104-58]

  • 2022: Dodgers [111-51]

  • 2021: Giants [107-55]

  • 2020: Dodgers [43-17]

  • 2019: Astros [107-55]

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@mattyb @mods - this can resolve "No" now (based on the final table).

bought αΉ€792 NO

Dodgers lose to the Giants and the market is resolvable - dodgers 88 wins 6 games left, Brewers 95 wins.

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We're only a couple games off of mathematically eliminating this. If the Dodgers win out they get 95; Brewers already have 92. Magic number is 4, I guess.

sold αΉ€1,975 NO

@JTBooth selling a bit of no just to liquid for other end of season markets

opened a αΉ€1,500 NO at 1.0% order

@JTBooth Magic number is now down to 1. Brewers have 95 wins, Dodgers have 67 losses.

@SentientTree this is the most boring clinch ever

Betting markets were less accurate than prediction markets here :)

Current betting odds are 19/2 (implied prob 9.5%)

-400 betting odds implies about 80% chance

@Jessef0226 silly me buying at 50 then, further limit orders will be 60+ until those odds come down

opened a αΉ€1,000 NO at 63% order

@JTBooth another 1k at 60% if y'all are still in

@JTBooth I was surprised the odds were so high as well, their win rate will probably be pretty consistent to keep them at the top all year, if any other team matches that so be it

They've lost Snell Glasnow Roki Treinen already

opened a αΉ€1,000 NO at 53% order

This market man...

1k NO limit order at 53%

sold αΉ€299 NO

Geez. I gotta back off of that no.

opened a αΉ€1,000 NO at 31% order

1k NO limit order at 31%, come get it

Dodgers have the best chances for sure

Depends who they sign, right? Come track the news with me 😁 https://manifold.markets/JTBooth/hot-stove-who-will-the-dodgers-sign