[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
Mini
10
Ṁ314
2029
75%
chance

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

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This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere, using the 12-month running mean.

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