[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?
27
Ṁ2472Jan 2
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as "Yes" if, before January 1, 2025, an independent review commissioned by the United Nations confirms the involvement of United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) staff in the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attacks.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Why is this not resolved?
Related questions
Related questions
Will I be satisfied by 2025 that Israeli leadership did not deliberately ignore information about the Hamas attack?
48% chance
Is there at least 90% chance that there is a Hamas command tunnel under U.N. Gaza headquarters?
55% chance
Will the alleged improper use of white phosphorous in Gaza by Israel be confirmed by Western Intelligence by EOY 2024?
14% chance
Will there be evidence to verify Dr Irfan Galaria's claims about Israeli snipers targeting children in Gaza by EOY 2024?
13% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?
9% chance
[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?
90% chance
[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?
4% chance
Will the UN General Assembly pass a resolution criticizing Israel’s actions in Gaza before Jan 31, 2024?
15% chance
Will any Hamas terrorists be arrested in the US in the next year? (Oct 8th, 2024)
7% chance
Did Israel strike the UNRWA facility in Gaza?
92% chance