Who will have an official position in the new Trump administration? (Add Answers)
➕
Plus
64
Ṁ16k
2025
99%
Stephen Miller
98.7%
Elise Stefanik
98%
Tom Homan
98%
Tulsi Gabbard
95%
Marco Rubio
90%
Pete Hegseth
75%
Scott Bessent
71%
Linda McMahon
61%
Matt Gaetz
59%
Doug Burgum
59%
Larry Kudlow
47%
Ben Carson
45%
Kari Lake
44%
RFK Jr.
44%
Elon Musk
41%
George P. Bush
40%
Mike Lee
39%
Bobby Jindal
35%
Chris Rufo
31%
Betsy DeVos

Answers resolve yes when the individual in question takes on an official role in the new Trump administration before the end of his first hundred days. Roles do not need to be Senate-confirmed (Chief of Staff or Press Secretary counts), but roles that require Senate confirmation must actually be confirmed before they resolve.

NOTE, 11/7 9:44am: An "official role" must include being a formal employee of the United States government. "X is going to be my advisor on confronting the rhinoceros threat" does not count. "X is going to be Assistant to the Deputy Assistant Undersecretary of Agriculture but I am directing everyone in the Executive Branch to obey his instructions on all topics relating to rhinoceroses" does count.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Elon Musk
bought Ṁ10 Elon Musk NO

Elon's a busy man

@traders Please note clarification in the description. Happy to answer any edge cases.

Do ‘czars’ count?

@JeffBerman Czar is typically the nickname for someone who has an official post, so in that case yes. (for instance, the director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy is often called the Drug Czar)

@JeffBerman Follow up: a friend who knows more about the actual functioning, the federal government than I do informs me that occasionally a czar actually has no official position, but by appointing them the president essentially tells everyone in the executive branch that they have to listen to this person on that topic. I would NOT consider that a “yes” — in order to qualify for this market, the individual in question must have a specific official role within the US government.